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Draft #7052 Skipped Created May 13, 2026, 09:27:49

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Generated note

The probability claim treats election-night leads as final-win odds. FactCheck explains later ballots were not random: mail/absentee and large Democratic-area votes were counted later, so multiplying them is invalid. https://www.factcheck.org/2020/12/false-claim-about-bidens-win-probability/

Source post

Sitting down? Odds of Trump winning these states before counting stopped on election night… GA: Up 8% and 83% in: 99% PA: Up 16.2% and 64% in: 99% Mi: Up 10.4% and 59% in: 97% Wi: Up 4.9% and 82% in: 97% Odds of losing all 4 states? 1 in 11.1 million or 0.000009% Stolen.

May 12, 2026, 12:14:55 Open on X →

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Step #1

generate_note.pre_filter

Success
Started
May 13, 2026, 09:27:49
Finished
May 13, 2026, 09:28:07
Duration
17.57 s

Input snapshot

{
  "post_text": "[Target Post]\nSitting down?\n\nOdds of Trump winning these states before counting stopped on election night…\n\nGA: Up 8% and 83% in: 99%\nPA: Up 16.2% and 64% in: 99%\nMi: Up 10.4% and 59% in: 97%\nWi: Up 4.9% and 82% in: 97%\n\nOdds of losing all 4 states?\n\n1 in 11.1 million or 0.000009%\n\nStolen."
}

Output snapshot

{
  "has_factual_claims": true
}